Most professionals approaching retirement know they need a plan. What many underestimate (often drastically) is the size of the piece of that plan that should be devoted to healthcare. Retirement is no longer just about 401(k)s and Social Security. It’s about protecting yourself from unpredictable, rising medical expenses that could quietly dismantle even the most disciplined savings strategy.
This article is a deep dive into healthcare costs in retirement. If you’re planning smartly for the long haul, this is where your attention should be focused.
Table of Contents
Let’s start with a number most people underestimate, by a lot.
Milliman’s 2024 projections show that a healthy 65-year-old man will likely spend around $281,000 on healthcare over his lifetime. For a woman, the estimate climbs to about $320,000. This can be attributed largely to longer average life expectancy. Together, that pushes the total cost for a couple to well over $600,000, assuming they’re enrolled in Original Medicare with Medigap and Part D.
Now, even if you adjust those future costs to present value (using a conservative 3% investment return), you’d still need nearly $395,000 in savings set aside today just to meet those expenses. And remember, this doesn’t even touch long-term care. Which, as we’ll see later, is an entirely different (and very expensive) category on its own.
What makes this even more concerning? Healthcare inflation doesn’t just rise, but accelerates faster than most other expenses. Historically, it outpaces general inflation by 1.5 to 2 times. That means even if your retirement portfolio is doing well, healthcare can still eat into your income faster than expected. Over time, that gap compounds, and so does the risk to your budget.
And yet, the underestimation is consistent and widespread:
The bottom line: you can’t afford to treat retirement healthcare costs as an afterthought.
To plan well, you have to plan with precision. And that means understanding exactly what healthcare in retirement includes (not just what you think it does).
Healthcare in retirement isn’t a single bill. It’s a moving target made up of many parts, some obvious, others less so. Let’s break it down.
Once you turn 65, Medicare becomes your primary insurance. That sounds like a win. And in some ways, it is.
But here’s the catch: Medicare isn’t comprehensive. Not even close. It covers a good portion of your care, but leaves significant gaps that most retirees aren’t prepared for.
Let’s look at the structure:
Beyond that?
You’re on your own.
If you need regular care, this adds up fast.
Even with all three parts in place, you’re still exposed to significant out-of-pocket costs. Here’s what Medicare generally doesn’t cover:
If you’re relying on standard Medicare alone, the gaps aren’t small. And if you don’t have a supplemental plan, they could derail your budget quickly.
This is where most retirees face a major fork in the road.
You have two main options for filling the coverage holes in Medicare, and both come with trade-offs.
This path gives you broader flexibility and more predictable out-of-pocket costs.
This works well for retirees with ongoing conditions or for anyone who values choice and consistency in care.
This bundled alternative rolls Parts A, B, and often D into a single private plan.
The right choice depends on how often you use care, how much flexibility you want, and how much risk you’re comfortable carrying.
Planning to retire before Medicare kicks in? Then you have another hurdle: how to stay covered until 65.
This gap, even if just a few years long, can cost tens of thousands if not planned for.
Here are your main options:
ACA plan pricing also varies by state and zip code. In some places, even subsidized plans stretch the budget uncomfortably thin.
Bottom line?
If early retirement is in your future, insurance planning has to be part of the equation from day one.
Now that we’ve detailed the problem, let’s talk about how to take control. Financial planning for healthcare costs is all about setting proactive strategies in motion.
If you’re in a high-deductible health plan (HDHP), your best bet pre-retirement is to max out your Health Savings Account (HSA):
After age 65, you can even use HSA funds for non-medical expenses (taxable as income), making it one of the most flexible retirement planning tools out there. Few vehicles offer this kind of triple tax advantage.
Missing your Initial Enrollment Period (IEP) can lead to permanent penalties:
Unless you’re still working and covered under an employer plan, you need to act by age 65. These penalties may seem small, but over a 20+ year retirement, they can cost thousands.
Don’t base your Medicare choice on what your neighbor (or even your sibling) picked. What works for someone else could end up costing you more in the long run. Your decision should reflect both your medical profile and your lifestyle priorities.
Start by asking yourself:
Some Advantage plans limit your access to a specific network, and seeing an out-of-network provider could mean footing the full bill.
Medicare Advantage plans don’t always offer the flexibility to access care outside your home region.
If so, you’ll want a plan that doesn’t require referrals or approvals each time you book a visit.
These aren’t minor details. They directly affect how smoothly your care experience goes and how much you end up paying.
A thoughtful, well-researched choice between Medigap and Medicare Advantage could be the difference between budget predictability and surprise expenses. Done right, it can save you thousands in premiums, coinsurance, and frustration over time.
Your Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) plays a much bigger role in retirement healthcare costs than most people realize. It’s not just a tax metric, but directly determines whether you’ll owe Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amounts (IRMAA), which are added surcharges on your Medicare Part B and Part D premiums.
Simply put:
Higher income = higher Medicare premiums
And these surcharges aren’t small. For high-income retirees, they can add hundreds of dollars per month, per person.
But here’s the good news: MAGI is something you can plan for if you act early. A few proactive moves can go a long way in keeping those surcharges in check:
MAGI thresholds can (and often do) shift each year based on inflation. That’s why ongoing planning matters. Work with a financial advisor to regularly review your income sources and keep your retirement plan IRMAA-resistant. A small adjustment today can prevent years of avoidable premium hikes.
If you’re planning to retire before 65, health insurance becomes one of the biggest financial roadblocks. Until Medicare kicks in, you’ll need a solid backup plan or risk paying far more than expected.
Here are your main options to bridge that gap:
And that’s the real risk: without some kind of healthcare bridge in place, early retirement could cost you upwards of $20,000 a year, just in premiums for a couple. That’s money that could otherwise go toward travel, savings, or long-term care planning.
So, before you mark your last day at work, make sure you’ve done the math on this piece. The right bridge plan can buy you both time and peace of mind.
Long-term care (LTC) is often the most overlooked piece of the retirement healthcare puzzle, and the most financially devastating if ignored. Medicare does not cover custodial care, which includes help with daily tasks, such as bathing, dressing, and eating. That’s not a gap but a canyon.
You need a dedicated plan, and it typically falls into one of three categories:
Consider this: the average nursing home stay now exceeds $100,000 per year. And the average stay? Nearly 2.5 years. Without planning, those costs can quietly drain your portfolio and put your spouse or children in a tough position.
This one’s deceptively simple and often underrated. Staying healthy now reduces costs later. It’s not just about diet or exercise (though those help). It’s about building consistent habits that minimize medical surprises and stretch your retirement dollars further.
Retirees who invest in regular checkups, screenings, and wellness programs often:
And don’t underestimate telehealth. Virtual doctor visits are more than a pandemic-era trend. They’re here to stay. They come with:
Wellness is a strategy that directly impacts your healthcare spending curve.
A “good” retirement plan isn’t one that works on paper when everything goes right. It holds up when things go wrong.
That’s where stress-testing comes in.
Run the numbers with uncomfortable scenarios, like:
Ask yourself: Could your portfolio absorb that? Would your withdrawal strategy still hold? Would your spouse be protected?
If the answer is “not really,” then it’s time to reassess. Because durability matters. The best retirement plans are well-funded and shockproof.
When it comes to funding healthcare in retirement, there’s no single “best” account. What you want is a blend where each source plays its part in a larger, flexible strategy.
Here’s how smart retirees layer their income:
This kind of diversification helps you control how and when you access money. And that kind of control is what keeps your long-term plan intact, even when healthcare costs spike unexpectedly.
Here’s how financial planning for healthcare costs should evolve:
Retirement Phase | Key Focus Areas | Strategic Moves |
Pre-65 | Max HSA, plan ACA or COBRA, Roth conversions | Optimize MAGI, bridge coverage thoughtfully |
Age 65 | Medicare enrollment, supplement evaluation, and IRMAA planning | Align insurance with lifestyle & income needs |
Post-65 | LTC strategy, inflation hedging, plan updates | Reassess annually and adjust as needed |
Healthcare planning includes an evolving set of line items that rise, fall, and shift unpredictably. Treat it with the same rigor as any other long-term investment.
Your healthcare plan is your peace of mind plan
Healthcare costs in retirement are all about control. Control over your lifestyle, your choices, and your peace of mind.
Here are two insights to consider before you close this tab:
Your travel plans, volunteering, or even downsizing homes all affect healthcare costs, whether through location-specific care availability, insurance options, or stress levels. Thinking in silos won’t cut it.
Tie your lifestyle plans and your health plans together.
Laws change. Your health changes. Your income streams evolve. Don’t build a static plan and assume it will hold for the next 30 years. Build annual reviews into your routine, and your future self will thank you.
Navigating retirement healthcare costs may not be the best DIY project. A qualified financial advisor can help you:
For additional information on retirement planning strategies that can be tailored to your specific financial needs and goals, visit Dash Investments or email me directly at dash@dashinvestments.com.
Dash Investments is privately owned by Jonathan Dash and is an independent investment advisory firm, managing private client accounts for individuals and families across America. As a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) firm with the SEC, they are fiduciaries who put clients’ interests ahead of everything else.
Dash Investments offers a full range of investment advisory and financial services, which are tailored to each client’s unique needs, providing institutional-caliber money management services that are based upon a solid, proven research approach. Additionally, each client receives comprehensive financial planning to ensure they are moving toward their financial goals.
CEO & Chief Investment Officer Jonathan Dash has been profiled by The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and CNBC as a leader in the investment industry with a track record of creating value for his firm’s clients.
Jonathan Dash is the Founder of Dash Investments. As Chief Investment Officer, he is responsible for all the investment management and asset allocation decisions at the firm. With over 25 years of experience in investment management, Mr. Dash has an established reputation as a superior money manager. Dash Investments has been covered in major business publications such as Barron’s, The Wall Street Journal, and The New York Times. Mr. Dash graduated from the University of Southern California with a B.S. in Finance and has also completed numerous executive programs at both Harvard Business School and Columbia Business School covering corporate restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, financial analysis and valuation. Jonathan Dash 800-549-3227
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